PRLog (Press Release)– Apr 17, 2011– During 2011, Russia's ports should make a full recovery from the downturn. The country's two bellwethers, the port of Novorossiysk, Russia's largest port in terms of total throug ferrari hout and the port of St Petersburg, Russia's main box facility, posted considerable y-o-y rises. Tonnage volumes at Novorossiysk increased by 79%, while box volumes were up 133%. This indicates the Sochi Winter Olympic development is having a positive impact on the port.
Box volumes were also up at St Petersburg by 47% y-o-y, indicating the recovery that began in 2010 is set to continue in 2011. In 2010 box volumes at the ports of St Petersburg and Novorossiysk increased by 43.7% and 100% respectively.
Headline Industry Data
* 2011 port of Novorossiysk tonnage throughput forecast to grow 2%. We project an increase of 1% over the medium term. * 2011 port of St Petersburg container throughput forecast to grow 3.8%. We project an increase of 45% over the medium term. * 2011 total trade growth forecast at 7.25%.
Key Industry Trends
Selling Up - The sale of stakes in some of Russia's ports continue, with Gennady Timchenko of Gunvor likely to gain a stake in the port of Murmansk. This is a developing port, in terms of the oil and gas industry and is also a hub port of the Northern Sea Route (NSR).
Russia Exports Oil For Itself - Ust-Luga is offering an export route for oil exports, which have previously been transported through Baltic States ports. The port is part of Russia's strategy to decrease reliance on neighbouring nations for its trade needs.
Miners Invest To Upgrade Supply Chain - A trend not only in Russia, but globally, with mining firms meeting their logistic requirements by funding railway upgrades and expansions at ports. The m rc helicopter and car market place ost recent example of this in Russia is SUEK, which is developing a coal terminal at the Russian Far East port of Vanino.
Risks To Outlook
The steady base for growth at the country's ports stems from BMI's positive outlook for the Russian economy. Private consumption, along with investment is driving Russia's economic growth, with our Country Risk desk forecasting GDP to increase by 4.3% in 2011.
Risks to outlook come in the form of the Sochi Olympics, which we believe will result in an uptick in volumes through the port of Novorossiysk. We believe the considerable growth of boxes through the port in 2010 and in the first month of 2011 is evidence of this.
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